COMMENT: Even sceptics can no longer ignore Zim’s economic miracle

THE past week has delivered a powerful validation of the trajectory upon which Zimbabwe has embarked since 2018.

Two major international institutions — Citigroup Inc and the World Bank — have independently issued assessments that collectively signal a fundamental shift in how the world perceives the nation’s economic prospects.

These reports are emphatic verdicts from quarters that have historically been deeply sceptical of Zimbabwe’s reform agenda.

For a country that has endured nearly two decades of economic isolation, negative headline risks and a reputation as a pariah state, these endorsements represent nothing less than a turning point.

Citigroup, one of the world’s premier investment banks, has declared that Zimbabwe “is breaking with its past as an economic turnaround takes hold”.

In a client note, David Cowan, the bank’s chief Africa economist, observed that “where perceptions and reality may now be increasingly out of kilter is the speed with which an economic turnaround has started to play out in Zimbabwe since 2025”.

The significance of Citi’s observations cannot be overstated.

This is a bank speaking to its global clients — institutional investors, pension funds, sovereign wealth funds — from a market that has been among the most sceptical of Zimbabwe’s reform credentials.

For Citi to now counsel that perceptions are lagging behind reality is a watershed moment.

It signals to the investment community that the risk calculus around Zimbabwe is changing.

It removes, layer by layer, the negative headline risks that have dogged the country since the turn of the millennium.

Investors who have been sitting on the fence, deterred by the country’s troubled reputation, now have authoritative third-party validation that Zimbabwe is not merely recovering — it is surging.

While Citi suggests the turnaround has been playing out since 2025, the reality is that Zimbabwe has been the fastest-growing economy in the region for the past five years.

Under the Second Republic, guided first by the Transitional Stabilisation Programme (2018-2020) and subsequently by the National Development Strategy 1 (2021-2025), the nation has pursued a coherent and disciplined reform agenda.

The results speak for themselves.

The economy grew by 8,3 percent in 2025, driven by strong performances in agriculture, mining, manufacturing and services.

The International Monetary Fund has projected growth of approximately 5 percent in 2026.

These are the fruits of deliberate policy, not happenstance, thanks to the strategic direction set by President Mnangagwa.

The Citi report coincides with equally momentous news from the World Bank.

Effective July 1, 2026, Zimbabwe was officially removed from the bank’s classifications of fragile and conflict-affected economies.

Under a revised framework introduced in July 2026, the previous single “Fragile and Conflict-Affected Situations” list was split into two separate lists: a Public FCV List and an Institutional Fragility List.

Zimbabwe no longer appears on either.

The implications of this delisting are profound.

It enhances Zimbabwe’s international image and improves risk perceptions among investors, development partners and multinational corporations.

When investors choose between two frontier markets, the country with fewer risk labels gains a decisive advantage.

The delisting also strengthens Zimbabwe’s diplomatic and debt negotiation position, demonstrating that the country is moving out of the “special risk” category and onto a reform and recovery trajectory.

Over the long term, improved risk perceptions could translate into lower financing costs for sectors highly sensitive to investment climate predictability — infrastructure, mining, agriculture, manufacturing and energy.

Overall, the confluence of these developments — Citi’s endorsement, the World Bank’s delisting and Forbes magazine’s recognition of Zimbabwe as the world’s best country to visit in 2025 — represents a powerful trifecta of international validation.

They also represent interconnected signals of a nation that has turned the corner. Clearly, the Second Republic has delivered on its promise to stabilise and grow an economy that had been in the doldrums for the better part of two decades.

The world is beginning to see what Zimbabweans have been witnessing: a nation rising from the ashes of its troubled past. The path ahead remains demanding.

Debt resolution, structural reforms and the deepening of the investment climate will require sustained effort and unwavering commitment.

But the foundation has been laid.

The negative headline risks that once defined Zimbabwe in the global imagination are being replaced by a narrative of resilience, reform and renewal.

The country is well on its way to achieving its set target: a prosperous, highly developed and industrial nation that all Zimbabweans will be proud to call home. All told, the verdict from Citi and the World Bank last week is an invitation to the world to look again, to invest and to be part of Zimbabwe’s extraordinary renaissance.

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