SA bonds gain on inflation outlook

Johannesburg. — South African bonds rallied, heading for the highest in more than a month as investors’ inflation expectations waned. The rand swung between gains and losses against the dollar. Inflation in Africa’s biggest economy slowed for a third month in November, staying within the Reserve Bank’s 3 percent to 6 percent target range and relieving pressure on Governor Gill Marcus to start raising interest rates early next year.

Foreign buyers have sold a net 1,19 billion rand (US$114 million) of South African bonds this month, extending the sell-off to a second month, according to data from stock market operator JSE Ltd.

“We are experiencing some year-end demand for government bonds as investors probably start to see value in them following a terrible year for bonds,” Ion de Vleeschauwer, chief currency dealer at Bidvest Bank Ltd, said by phone from Johannesburg yesterday. “The outlook for inflation is also better.”

The yield on rand-denominated bonds due December 2026 fell five basis points, or 0,05 percentage point, to 8,15 percent by 10:39am in Johannesburg, the lowest since November 20 on a closing basis.

The rand gained 0,2 percent to 10,3375 per dollar after earlier retreating the same amount.
South African local-currency debt returned 1,1 percent this month and 0,6 percent in 2013, compared with a 16 percent gain in 2012, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch indexes. — Bloomberg.

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