adminLONDON. – Brent oil rose towards $71 a barrel yesterday, recovering some of its losses from the previous session as a turbulent market searched for a price floor after a nearly 40 percent fall since June.
Trade in oil has been choppy since the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said last week it would not lower output despite an oversupplied market.
Brent hit a five-year low below $68 a barrel on Monday after averaging about $110 a barrel in 2011 to 2013.
“There has been a technical bounce back from the very strong declines that we have seen in the lead-up to and after the Opec meeting,” said Harry Tchilinguirian, an oil analyst at BNP Paribas in London.
“Seeing some rebound is normal, but the downtrend remains in place.
“It is possible that we can go down further.”
Brent for delivery in January rose 21c to $70,75 a barrel by mid-morning after falling by $2 on Tuesday. It was slightly off a day high of $71,46.
US crude for January delivery rose to $67,33 a barrel, off the day’s high of $67,97 but up 45c from the previous session, when prices dropped by more than
$2.
Opec’s oil supply fell by 340 000 barrels a day in November as a recovery in Libya faltered, a Reuters survey found, although a lack of deliberate cutbacks by Saudi Arabia and other key members underlined their focus on defending market share.
The Kingdom will consider cutting production only if other countries, including non-Opec producer Russia, also take part in cuts, former Saudi intelligence chief Prince Turki bin Faisal said on Tuesday.
Chart analysts warned that the months-long rout may not be over and that US crude could plunge towards $50 a barrel if a handful of tenuous support levels give way after a period of consolidation.
American Petroleum Institute (API) data showed a bigger than expected fall in crude stocks in the US last week, which provided some support for US crude.
The API said crude inventories fell by 6,5 million barrels to 373 million in the week to November 28 versus analysts’ expectations for an increase of 1,3 million barrels.
Stocks at the US crude
contract’s delivery hub of Cushing, Oklahoma, fell 610 000 barrels.
Data from the US Energy Information Administration were due yesterday late afternoon. – Reuters.
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