Gold prices remain high

SINGAPORE. — Gold was hovering near five-week highs yesterday as traders bet the Federal Reserve would stick with its bullion-friendly stimulus measures at a policy meeting later this week. Bullion has fallen nearly 20 percent this year as investors dumped gold holdings for better-performing stock markets and on fears that the end of easy money from the US central bank would dim the metal’s inflation-hedge appeal.

In the past two weeks, however, gold has gained about 6 percent as weak US data and budget battles in Washington looked set to deter the Fed from scaling back asset purchases.

“We believe the tapering will definitely be delayed and that’s positive for precious metals,” GoldSilver Central managing director Brian Lan said.

“Gold prices will close above              US$1 400 by the end of the year.”
Spot gold was down 0,1 percent at US$1 350,41 an ounce by early morning.

On Friday, it touched US$1 355,20, its highest since September 20. Platinum gained as much as 0,7 percent on fears that strikes in South Africa could curb supply.

The Fed’s policy-setting committee will release a statement on its decision tomorrow at the end of a two-day meeting. The central bank is unlikely to make any shift in monetary policy this week and will continue to buy back bonds at an US$85 billion monthly rate as it waits for more evidence of how badly Washington’s budget battle has hurt the economy.

Traders are also closely monitoring physical demand in Asia, the biggest consumer of gold, where demand has become subdued following a big rush earlier this year.

“Physical demand is quiet because of higher prices. The only market that is buying is India,” said Mr Lan.
Premiums in India jumped to a record high of US$130 an ounce last week as government restrictions on gold imports squeezed supply during the peak holiday season.

India, where gold is considered auspicious and is bought during weddings and festivals, celebrates Diwali and Dhanteras festivals in early November.

In China, premiums on the Shanghai Gold Exchange fell into negative territory yesterday although they recovered later to about US$1 an ounce. Premiums were as high as US$30 in April-May.

A dealer in Hong Kong said higher prices were prompting some consumers to sell. — Reuters.