Zambia to uncover debt hole ahead of IMF talks

LUSAKA. – Zambian President Hakainde Hichilema’s government is trying to uncover the full extent of its obligations as it prepares to seek a bailout from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and begin talks to revamp the African nation’s debt.

Mr Hichilema’s landslide victory in the election last month placed him in control of an economy with a “bigger hole” than he envisaged, having last year become Africa’s first pandemic-era sovereign defaulter.

Years of government budget blow outs fuelled by over-borrowing left the state with at least US$12,7 billion in external debt, according to the most recent official figure.

“We had known for a long time that there was non-full disclosure,” Hichilema said in an interview yesterday, a week after taking office. “So now that we’re in, we are beginning to see that the debt numbers that were being talked about officially are not really the comprehensive numbers.”

An accurate picture of the nation’s debt may help remove a roadblock for talks with bondholders. It may also improve chances of a bailout deal with the IMF, a prerequisite for any debt restructuring.

“Introducing more transparency is of course positive but the size of the discrepancy is what matters most,” Phillip Blackwood, managing director at EM Quest in London, said in an email.

“How big is the hole is what investors are ultimately concerned with now, but this openness will of course enable current discussions with the IMF.”

Zambia’s US$1 billion in bonds maturing in 2024 rose 1,6 percent to 79 cents on the dollar London on Tuesday, the highest level since March 2019.

Mr Hichilema’s new team, which he said was the “new kids on the block,” on Friday named Situmbeko Musokotwane as finance minister.

He will lead talks with the IMF and Zambia’s lenders that range from the Export-Import Bank of China to funds holding its US$3 billion of Eurobonds.

“You have deals that were structured outside the normal channels, we’re talking about debt that was accrued, acquired without parliament approval,” Mr Hichilema said. “One of our jobs right now is to dig into, trying to zero in on what the true debt is: both foreign and domestic debt.

“We are working through it and we’ll get to the bottom of it soon.”

Former president Edgar Lungu’s government has previously denied that it hid its obligations.

The Lungu government’s move to take over operations of companies including Konkola Copper Mines and Mopani Copper Mines could also add to the official public debt levels, Mr Hichilema said. — Bloomberg.

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