Petrol prices down 1,91pc in November, diesel holds steady

Business Reporter

THE Zimbabwe Energy Regulatory Authority (ZERA) has cut the price of petrol for November by 1,91 percent, offering some early cheer to motorists and businesses ahead of the festive season.

However, ZERA left the diesel price unchanged.

ZERA set the November pump price for petrol at US$1,54 per litre, down from US$1,57 per litre in October, the first downward adjustment since the end of the third quarter.

Diesel has remained at US$ 1,57 per litre since September, suggesting limited wholesale cost movements in the distillates category.

The energy regulator did not explain the adjustments, but market analysts typically track price reviews against refining costs, shipping, and crude benchmarks.

International crude markets have been volatile in recent weeks, particularly due to Middle East supply dynamics, a softer demand outlook from Europe and China and the way traders have navigated shifting global economic recession probabilities.

The Middle East is witnessing supply resilience amid volatility, with strong global demand pushing producers to maintain consistent supply, while ongoing geopolitical tensions create a risk of price spikes and supply disruptions.

Brent crude, the key benchmark reference for Zimbabwe’s import market, closed in September on a firmer footing but later cooled in October as demand risk outweighed supply concerns.

In September, Brent largely hovered in the mid US$80s per barrel range, supported by OPEC+ output discipline and optimistic gross domestic product data from the US.

However, by October, sentiment cooled and crude prices slid back towards the low US$80s region as traders priced in weaker manufacturing signals and a flatter US consumer confidence profile.

Analysts said this swing reflected how quickly investor positioning had become data-dependent.

Zimbabwe’s local fuel pricing model largely floats with these global shifts because the domestic landing cost of refined fuel is directly influenced by crude trends, shipping freight and refinery premiums linked to Brent.

The petrol reduction, although modest, may shave marginal costs from intercity transport operators, mine fleets and delivery logistics businesses.

No clear signal has emerged on whether December might follow with additional price cuts, given the current global price indecision and uncertain year-end demand pattern.

Motorists, meanwhile, will welcome even the smallest reprieve, especially as festive travel costs start to stack up.

 

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